Alan Fine, May 21, 2021
The results of a joint testing trial conducted by American Airlines, British Airways and the oneworld Alliance shows that a comprehensive COVID-19 testing program is effective and can help reopen international travel safely, even as the growing number of vaccinated passengers add a positive variable to the situation. This is underpinned by analysis from researchers at the University of Oxford, who studied data on how passengers evaluate risk and comply with COVID-19 rules.
The study by the Oxford Internet Institute, “Trust, Testing and Travel, Technology Use, Traveler Knowledge and Compliance with COVID-19 Health Rules,” analyzed aggregated survey data from almost 600 travelers who took part in the voluntary testing trial on select flights from the U.S. to London Heathrow (LHR), between November 2020 and March 2021. The trial offered three complimentary COVID-19 tests, taken throughout the trans-Atlantic journey.
Customers participating in the trial, conducted in two phases, took an initial PCR test at 72 hours prior to departure; a second test (LAMP) upon arrival at LHR; and a third test (PCR) taken three to five days after arrival in the U.K.
In the trial’s first phase, just 1-percent of travelers who took a test within 72 hours of their departure tested positive, and, as a result of the test, they did not travel. None of the travelers who took a test upon arrival at LHR tested positive. Of the travelers who took the third test after arriving in the U.K., just 0.4 percent of travelers tested positive.
The analysis by researchers at the Oxford Internet Institute suggests that the testing trial results were “broadly consistent” with earlier testing trial programs in the aviation industry. Importantly, 99.7 percent of travelers said they were happy to adhere to COVID-19 testing requirements as an alternative to quarantine after international travel and are prepared to pay for affordable testing.
Almost 70 percent of travelers said they would travel if required to take a COVID-19 test within 72 hours prior to departure. The same number said they would be willing to take a COVID-19 test before departure as well as after arrival. More than 70 percent of travelers said they would be likely to travel if required to take a test at the airport before departure, and about 75 percent of travelers are willing to be tested at the airport upon arrival at their destination.
Asked what they would be prepared to pay, nearly 80 percent of travelers said they would pay for COVID-19 testing, with the majority prepared to pay $50 or less for each test. Only 15 percent of travelers are prepared to pay more than $100 for COVID-19 testing.
Findings of the Oxford study will be shared with governments and stakeholders, in an important addition to the growing body of knowledge that shows how comprehensive COVID-19 testing can provide governments the confidence they need to lift entry restrictions and allow travel to safely resume.
“As many countries make progress on vaccinating their citizens, the debate over reopening travel safely is becoming increasingly important,” said Philip Howard, professor of internet studies at Oxford Internet Institute at University of Oxford. “I’m pleased our team has been able to make a contribution to this discussion through this detailed analysis of passenger sentiment and behavior.”
“The Oxford study further reinforces that customers are willing to undergo COVID-19 testing as an alternative to quarantine,” said a joint statement on the Oxford findings from American Airlines, British Airways and oneworld. “The trial findings underline the important role that testing can play in the safe reopening of international travel, including hugely significant routes between the U.S. and U.K. The affordability of testing is crucial for travelers, and we stand ready to partner with governments and the private sector to offer affordable testing options for our customers who would like or need to travel again.” For more information, click on Trust, Testing and Travel report.